College Football Picks- Week 8 2025
Week 7 was a mixed bag. I roughly broke even on my futures- Texas winning was pretty bad, but I made up for it with Indiana, Alabama and Southern Miss all winning. By my math, I made about a unit on my futures. My weekly picks won two units- driven by Indiana ML and Florida Atlantic -19.5 alt line. Unfortunately, that’s the last time we’ll be able to fade Trent Dilfer’s UAB team with an alt line- he was fired after the game.
Futures*: +24.24 units
Week 0: -3 units
Week 1: -2.57 units
Week 2: +2.61 units
Week 3: +1.05 units
Week 4: +3.43 units
Week 5: -3.13 units
Week 6: +3.83 units
Week 7: +2.04 units
Season Total: +28.50 units
*Note: Futures PnL is a mark to market estimate
Coastal Carolina @ App State (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
Both of these teams are pretty weak compared to their recent peaks- both have been ranked in the top 25 in recent years. Coastal, however, has shown some signs of life in recent weeks with dominating wins over ULM and South Alabama. App State may be 4-2, but those wins are over a bad FCS team and then three of the worst teams in FBS. Coastal is improving and App has their least talented team in a decade- this line is too big.
Coastal Carolina +11.5 -110 (2 units)
Central Michigan @ Bowling Green (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
Bowling Green is rocketing up my ratings after a win over presumptive MAC favorite Toledo- you’ll be seeing more of the Falcons in my futures bets this week. CMU, on the other hand, has seen their season go off the rails a bit after a loss to a bad Akron team. HC Eddie George (yes, that Eddie George) has already built a decent roster at Bowling Green and they should roll here.
Bowling Green -4.5 -115 (1 unit)
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern (Saturday, 6 PM Central)
This battle of GSUs has developed as a real rivalry in recent years. Georgia Southern is having a bit of a disappointing year, but it’s nothing compared to the disaster at Georgia State. The Panthers have been in disarray since former HC Shawn Elliot left late in the coaching cycle, costing them an entire recruiting class. New HC Dell McGee inherited a bad situation, but has made it worse and this is a bottom 10 team in FBS. I expect to be fading his squad frequently over the weeks to come.
Georgia Southern -6.5 -118 (1 unit)
UTSA @ North Texas (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
I was pretty bullish on North Texas earlier this season and even got them to make the playoff at 30/1. I am much lower on the Mean Green after a disastrous game again USF where they committed a million turnovers. UTSA’s talent level is a lot better than their record and they have one of the better players in the G5 in RB Robert Henry Jr. I think UTSA has a very good shot in this one, and this also hedges my existing North Texas exposure.
UTSA ML +180 (1 unit)
UConn @ Boston College (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
UConn has had a confusing season. Sometimes they look great, like when they beat FIU by 41 as a 3 point favorite. Other times they look awful, like when choking away a game against Delaware. They’re a high variance team who can score a ton of points. Boston College, meanwhile, is in disarray. Their loss to Michigan State keeps looking worse and they’ve already lost to two of the worst teams in the ACC. Their defense is awful and I think UConn could score a ton of points on them.
UConn -13.5 +380 (1 unit)
UConn -20.5 +750 (0.5 units)
West Virginia @ UCF (Saturday, Noon Central)
West Virginia is one of the worst teams in the Power Five. Their rivalry win over Pitt is truly one of the most perplexing results of the season. UCF showed us that they have the ability to bury bad teams when they killed UNC (cashing the alt line for us there) a few weeks ago. I think they can do it again here.
UCF -22.5 +419 (1 unit)