College Football Picks- Week 7 2025

Futures*: +24.36 units

Week 0: -3 units

Week 1: -2.57 units

Week 2: +2.61 units

Week 3: +1.05 units

Week 4: +3.43 units

Week 5: -3.13 units

Week 6: +3.83 units

Season Total: +26.58 units

*Note: Futures PnL is a mark to market estimate

I finally had the amazing week that I’ve come so close to a few times this season. Nearly everything went right for me last week. Texas lost to Florida- I marked in around 8 units on my Texas shorts. Penn State lost to UCLA the week after I bet on them to miss the playoff. Clemson dominated UNC and I hit my alt line of Clemson -19.5. I couldn’t have asked for a better week.

Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston (Thursday, 7 PM Central)

Both of these teams contended for the conference title last year and lost their coaches as a result. It’s going very differently for them. Jacksonville State looks decent (and their old coach, Rich Rodriguez, is struggling at West Virginia). Sam Houston looks awful (and their old coach, KC Keeler, is doing very well at Temple).

Sam Houston is really, really bad. I think they’re the worst team in FBS- New Mexico State (a bottom 15 team) blew the doors off them last week. I also like Jax State- I’ve bet on them a few times this season already. I’m very surprised this spread is in the single digits.

Jacksonville State -8.5 -110 (3 units)

Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State (Thursday, 6 PM Central)

Conference USA is the worst FBS conference, and it’s not close. CUSA is bad even by its standards this year- and nothing shows that better than the fact that Kennesaw State is 10/1 to win the league. The Owls were a bottom 3 team in FBS last year, and have improved to about fifteenth-worst. Their talent level is still far behind established FBS programs like Louisiana Tech, though. The Bulldogs have one of the best defenses in the G5 and will shut down Kennesaw.

Louisiana Tech -5.5 -110 (1 unit)

Wake Forest @ Oregon State (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)

Oregon State has been a weird team this year. They are 0-6 and struggling with some really basic things- their long snapper is hurt and they’ve had several disastrous plays on special teams since. Wake Forest, meanwhile, is quietly competent. The officials robbed them of an upset over Georgia Tech, and they beat Virginia Tech as an underdog last week. Wake Forest HC Jake Dickert is also very familiar with Oregon State from his time at Washington State. The Demon Deacons are a pleasant surprise this year and Oregon State is in freefall.

Wake Forest -2.5 -115 (1 unit)

Georgia @ Auburn (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)

I am not convinced Georgia is that good. Their defense has a lot of problems- Joey Aguilar carved them up in the first half of the Tennessee game, and they allowed Alabama to convert approximately a million third downs a few weeks later.

Auburn is certainly talented, especially in the WR corps. Their problems are all on the offensive line- but I don’t know if Georgia has the guys up front to make them pay there. Auburn’s overall talent is only a step behind Georgia’s.

Auburn +4.5 -110 (1 unit)

Indiana @ Oregon (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)

As I’ll discuss in the futures bets this week, I already have a ton of exposure on Indiana here (including 2 units on Indiana +14 that I bet in the preseason). I’ll add another unit on the moneyline. The computer models, mine included, love Indiana. They’ve done everything you could ask of them this season (including a win over Old Dominion that has aged very well). The talent level on their roster is getting serious and QB Fernando Mendoza is getting a lot of first round buzz. I really like the Hoosiers.

Indiana ML +280 (1 unit)

Arkansas @ Tennessee (Saturday, 3:15 PM Central)

This is Bobby Petrino’s first game as interim Arkansas coach. Previous HC Sam Pittman was fired after the loss to Notre Dame, so Petrino has had the bye week to prepare the roster for this game.

You can criticize Petrino all you want (I’ll be the first guy to criticize him)- but he can certainly scheme up an offense. I wouldn’t want him running my program long term, but if you had to pick a guy to coach my team for one game, you could do a lot worse. I’m sure he has some tricks up his sleeve for this one. Arkansas has a talented roster and QB Taylen Green fits the scheme Petrino likes to run.

Arkansas ML +340 (1 unit)

UAB @ Florida Atlantic (Saturday, 5 PM Central)

It’s time to bring back a classic trade- the Trent Dilfer put. Everyone in the industry knows that UAB coach Trent Dilfer is a dead man walking this year. His team has looked awful so far this year (they nearly lost to Alabama State). He also has assembled a roster full of JUCO players and other random misfits who have no allegiance to him and might just give up at the first sign of trouble. Florida Atlantic QB Caden Veltkamp can really sling it and I think the Owls might roll here.

Florida Atlantic -19.5 +437 (1 unit)