Final 2025 College Football Bracketology

We’re an hour away from the Selection Show, as I type this. Last year, I nailed the exact 12 team bracket- not just what teams made the field, but also all the exact seeds, matchups and locations. Hopefully I can keep the hot streak going this year.

Without further ado, here is my projection for the 12 team bracket:

1 Indiana vs. (9 Notre Dame @ 8 Oklahoma)- Rose Bowl

2 Georgia vs. (10 Alabama @ 7 Notre Dame)- Sugar Bowl

3 Ohio State vs. (11 Tulane @ 6 Ole Miss) - Orange Bowl

4 Texas Tech vs. (12 James Madison @ 5 Oregon)- Cotton Bowl

Here’s how I see the breakdown of probabilities for various things:

Making the playoff (at-large): Notre Dame 90%, Alabama 80%, Miami 30%

Making the playoff (auto-bid): James Madison 95%, Duke 5%

1 seed: Indiana 100%

2 seed: Georgia 90%, Ohio State 10%

3 seed: Ohio State 80%, Georgia 10%, Texas Tech 10%

4 seed: Texas Tech 90%, Ohio State 10%

5 seed: Oregon 100%

6 seed: Ole Miss 85%, Texas A&M 15%

7 seed: Texas A&M 85%, Ole Miss 15%

8 seed: Oklahoma 95%, Notre Dame 5%

9 seed: Notre Dame 65%, Miami 25%, Oklahoma 5%, Alabama 5%

10 seed: Alabama 75%, Notre Dame 20%, Miami 5%

11 seed: Tulane 100%

12 seed: James Madison 95%, Duke 5%