College Football Picks- Week 12 2025
Last week was my first losing week since September. My alt line on Coastal Carolina came close, but didn’t hit. I also marked out a few units on my futures- mainly on North Carolina beating Stanford. It’s not a big deal- I’m still up a lot on the season and the winning streak was bound to come to an end sometime.
Futures*: +38.18 units
Week 0: -3 units
Week 1: -2.57 units
Week 2: +2.61 units
Week 3: +1.05 units
Week 4: +3.43 units
Week 5: -3.13 units
Week 6: +3.83 units
Week 7: +2.04 units
Week 8: +8.16 units
Week 9: +0.84 units
Week 10: 0 units
Week 11: -4 units
Season Total: +49.44 units
*Note: Futures PnL is a mark to market estimate
Arkansas @ LSU (Saturday, 11:45 AM Central)
I will be in attendance in Baton Rouge for this game- my first ever trip to Death Valley. I think people have gotten too low on LSU. This is still a very talented roster, and they don’t have the quit risk that other teams with fired coaches do- interim HC Frank Wilson is a long-time member of the staff. Arkansas has the worst roster in the SEC and LSU should roll here.
LSU -5.5 -110 (1 unit)
Marshall @ Georgia State (Saturday, 2 PM Central)
I’m continuing to bet against Georgia State. They are really bad- they’re now a bottom 5 team in FBS in my model. HC Dell McGee stepped into a weird situation for the Panthers and it has gone from bad to worse this year. Marshall is a solid Sun Belt team and should roll here.
Marshall -6.5 -115 (1 unit)
Virginia Tech @ Florida State (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)
I think that Florida State might be quitting on Mike Norvell. The Seminoles committed some ghastly turnovers in their loss to Clemson last week, and are now in danger of missing a bowl game yet again. Virginia Tech has been improved since firing Brent Pry, and FSU simply might not care anymore.
Virginia Tech ML +420 (1 unit)