College Football Futures Rooting Guide- Week 14 2025
If you’ve been following my college football futures all year, it’s been a good year. I’m up 55 units on the year, but a lot of that money hasn’t been realized yet. A lot of it is tied up in bets like North Texas to make the playoff (at 30/1 odds!) that look quite good, but still haven’t cashed yet. In today’s rooting guide, I’ll walk you through what you should be looking out for this weekend if you’ve been tailing my futures.
Troy @ Southern Miss (-6.5)
The winner of this game wins the Sun Belt West, and will face James Madison for the conference title next week. We win 9.5 units if Southern Miss wins the division, and 15 units if Troy wins the conference. Whoever wins this game will be a massive underdog in the conference title game, so we’d much rather that Southern Miss wins here.
Vanderbilt (+2.5) @ Tennessee
We win 17 units if Vanderbilt makes a playoff. I think they’re about a coin flip to get in if they win this game, but they have no shot if they lose.
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State (+2.5)
We win 11 units if Jacksonville State wins Conference USA. The winner of this game is likely to face off against Kennesaw State in the conference title game, although the loser still has a small chance of making it in.
LSU @ Oklahoma (-10.5)
We will win 11 units on our Oklahoma tickets (both on them to make the playoff, as well as to win double digit games) if they win this game.
Miami (-6.5) @ Pitt
A Miami win here is good for us both because it helps Miami (who we’re a bit long) and also because it really helps Duke. Our 100/1 longshot ticket on Duke to win the ACC pretty much requires a Miami win.
Wake Forest (-1.5) @ Duke
Speaking of Duke, we need them to win this game to have a shot at the ACC title game. This line has moved and they’re now a small home underdog.
Ohio State (-10.5) @ Michigan
We bet Ohio State to go undefeated at +400 for 2 units in the summer. That will cash if they win this game.
Oregon @ Washington (+6.5)
We’re flat exposure to these teams, but an Oregon loss puts their playoff position in some jeopardy. That could help out other teams that we’re long (such as Vanderbilt).
Kennesaw State (-2.5) @ Liberty
We win 5 units if Kennesaw State wins Conference USA. They lock up a place in the conference title game with a win here.
SMU (-13.5) @ California
This is complicated. It would be great if SMU did really well (we have some wing calls on them, and make 4 units if they make the playoff). At the same time, if they lose this game, it’s not the worst for us- we’d make 4 units on our SMU under 8.5 wins ticket- and it helps Duke and Miami.
Texas A&M (-2.5) @ Texas
I have 2 units on A&M in this game at +10.5 from the preseason. I also win 5 units if A&M wins the SEC.
Alabama @ Auburn (+5.5)
We’re long Alabama to win the SEC, but we want Auburn to win this game. That’s because we’re long the other contenders (Georgia and Texas A&M). More importantly, an Alabama loss here is great for Vanderbilt, who we’re much longer.
Virginia Tech (+9.5) @ Virginia
We do win 8.8 units if Virginia wins the ACC (they make the conference title game with a win). However, a Virginia loss here paves the path for Duke to make the ACC title game, which would be great for us. Our exposure is unclear.
Temple @ North Texas (-19.5)
North Texas is two wins away from the playoff- they need to win this game, and then they need to win the American title game. They’re very likely to play Tulane in the title game, where they’d be a small road favorite.
Wisconsin @ Minnesota (-1.5)
We have 3 units on Minnesota over 6.5 wins. They have 6 wins and this is their last game of the season, so it will determine whether or not our ticket hits.
Toledo (-10.5) @ Central Michigan
Ohio (-6.5) @ Buffalo
Ball State @ Miami (OH) (-17.5)
We win 7 units if Toledo wins the MAC. For them to reach the conference title game (where they’d be a decent a favorite!) we need them to win and have either Ohio and Miami (OH) lose.
Georgia (-13.5) @ Georgia Tech
I bet Georgia Tech +12.5 on the lookahead line in this game back in the summer.
Boise State (-2.5) @ Utah State
We win 5 units if Boise State wins the Mountain West. For them to make the conference title game, they need to win this game.
San Diego State (-1.5) @ New Mexico
Our San Diego State to make the Mountain West title game ticket cashes if they win this game. They’re in decent shape though even with a loss. A San Diego State win here also helps Boise State.
Here are some other results to cheer for. These are a mix of games with a massive favorite, or games where the result would be only marginally helpful for us.
Indiana (-28.5), West Virginia (+23.5), UCF (+17.5), Memphis (-4.5), Utah (-11.5), Arizona State (+1.5), James Madison (-21.5), USC (-21.5), South Florida (-27.5), Tulane (-29.5), Stanford (+32.5)