College Football Ratings- Week 3 2025

Some teams worth noting here:

Alabama- I’m far from the only computer system that still has the Tide #1 in the SEC. They have demolished two bad teams since their opening loss and their talent level is so high. We’ll learn more after they play Georgia in Week 5.

Notre Dame- Two very close losses to two very good teams. The Irish have about a 40% chance of winning out and entering the playoff conversation at 10-2.

Auburn- I am higher on them than everyone else. Most computers have them in the teens, I have them 12th.

Vanderbilt- This is their highest ranking in my model since I debuted my model back in 2011.

The top of the SEC remains extremely clumped together. It’s going to be a mess of 6-2 and 5-3 teams in the conference standings at the end of the year. The middle of the pack is good enough to pick off several of the top teams as well. Get ready for some chaos.

It’s an interesting week in the Big Ten. We’ll learn a lot about the second tier of the conference when Michigan travels to Nebraska and Illinois travels to Indiana. The winners of those games will join USC in the second tier of the conference, far behind the top tier of Ohio State/Penn State/Oregon.

It’s clearly Miami’s conference to lose. (That probably means they’ll find a way to lose it, considering the last 25 years of their program). Don’t sleep on NC State- I don’t hear anyone discussing them, but the Wolfpack have a good QB in CJ Bailey and a smattering of talent elsewhere.

We get Texas Tech @ Utah and Arizona State @ Baylor this week, and we get TCU @ Arizona State next week. Those three games will tell us a ton about the Big 12 race. My model does not treat Iowa State as a serious contender despite being ranked in the top 25 of the AP Poll.

At the bottom of the league, Oklahoma State is far below everyone else. Kansas State has fallen into the bottom three after a disastrous start to the season.