Men’s Bracketology 3/4/2026

Tuesday was a pretty strong night for the bubble. UCLA and TCU both look very safe (>95% chance of a bid) after Q1-A wins over Nebraska and Texas Tech. Texas A&M picked up a nice win over Kentucky. Auburn avoided disaster against LSU. Cincinnati moved closer to contention with a win over BYU.

The quagmire on the 2-4 lines also eased up a bit since my last update with Texas Tech, Iowa State, Nebraska, Kansas and Alabama all losing. That allowed Michigan State to move up to a 2 seed.

1: Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Connecticut

2: Florida, Houston, Illinois, Michigan State

3: Purdue, Texas Tech, Iowa State, Nebraska

4: Kansas, Alabama, Gonzaga, Virginia

5: Vanderbilt, North Carolina, St. John’s, Arkansas

6: Tennessee, Wisconsin, Louisville, St. Mary’s

7: Kentucky, Miami (FL), BYU, Clemson

8: Saint Louis, Georgia, Villanova, Utah State

9: Iowa, NC State, UCLA, UCF

10: TCU, Texas A&M, Texas, Missouri

11: Miami (OH), SMU, (Santa Clara/Ohio State), (New Mexico/Auburn)

12: South Florida, Belmont, Yale, McNeese

13: Liberty, UNC Wilmington, High Point, Cal Baptist

14: Hawai’i, North Dakota State, Navy, Austin Peay

15: Troy, East Tennessee State, Merrimack, Wright State

16: Portland State, UMBC, (LIU/Bethune Cookman), (Tennessee State/Howard)

First Four Out: Indiana, VCU, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati

Also Considered: California, USC, Seton Hall, San Diego State, Oklahoma State