Men’s Bracketology 2/13/2026

A strong week for the bubble continued on Wednesday night with Missouri winning at Texas A&M and Virginia Tech winning at Clemson.

It’s a bit of an interesting bubble dynamic where there’s lots of teams in the field on shaky ground, but a relatively small roster of teams outside the field with a realistic chance. I think everyone from Auburn on down to the cut line is somewhere between 50%-85% to make the field, but past my First Four Out, the odds fall off a cliff dramatically. Teams like Seton Hall and Oklahoma State are probably somewhere in the 10-20% range to make it.

1: Arizona, Michigan, Duke, Connecticut

2: Houston, Purdue, Illinois, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Nebraska, Florida, Michigan State

4: Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, Alabama, Virginia

5: Texas Tech, Arkansas, Louisville, St. John’s

6: North Carolina, BYU, Tennessee, Saint Louis

7: Utah State, Kentucky, Iowa, Clemson

8: Villanova, NC State, Wisconsin, UCF

9: St. Mary’s, Indiana, Auburn, SMU

10: USC, Miami (FL), Texas A&M, Santa Clara

11: Georgia, (UCLA/Ohio State), (San Diego State/Texas), Miami (OH)

12: Tulsa, Belmont, Liberty, McNeese

13: Yale, Hawai’i, High Point, UNC Wilmington

14: Cal Baptist, St. Thomas, East Tennessee State, Troy

15: Portland State, Wright State, Austin Peay, Navy

16: Merrimack, UT-Martin, (LIU/Bethune-Cookman), (Vermont/Howard)

First Four Out: Missouri, New Mexico, Virginia Tech, TCU

Next Four Out: Seton Hall, VCU, Oklahoma State, Baylor

Also Considered: Nevada, California, West Virginia, Boise State, LSU, George Mason, Stanford

Moving In: None

Moving Out: None

Bids by Conference:

Big 10: 11

SEC: 10

ACC: 8

Big 12: 7

Big East: 3

West Coast: 3

Mountain West: 2