Bracketology Bets 2/19/2026

It’s been another good few days for my bracketology bets. I bet a bunch on Ohio State to make the tournament at +310, they won a coin flip game against Wisconsin and moved to -150. That shows how stupid a price +310 was.

San Diego State to miss the tournament +135 (1 unit)

San Diego State took a brutal home loss to Grand Canyon on Tuesday and is now pretty clearly out of the field. They’re the first or second team out in most projections you look at right now. I think if they go 4-1 down the stretch they’re looking pretty decent for a bid, and if they go 3-2 they’re looking very shaky for a bid. Of course, they could also go out and win the Mountain West tournament, which has maybe a 20% chance. The committee is not going to give a Mountain West team the benefit of the doubt if it’s close on Selection Sunday and I think they’re a bit worse than a coin flip to get in right now.