Bracketology Bets 2/1/2026

It’s been a decent start for my bracketology bets. I made my first bets last week- my biggest bet was Texas to miss the tournament at +310. The Longhorns have gone 1-1 since (which was expected- I expected 0.9 wins from them in those two games) and have gone from +310 to +116 to miss the tournament. That’s the kind of line movement that shows me that I’m on to something here.

Seton Hall to make tournament +280 (2 units)

It’s been a roller coaster season from Seton Hall. They were expected to be bad in the preseason, then they started 14-2, then they lost four in a row, now they’ve won two in a row. They’re just outside of the field for me right now. I think they’ll probably make it with a 5-4 finish and definitely make it with a 6-3 finish. Kenpom and T-Rank project them for a 5-4 and 4-5 finish, respectively. I think this should be closer to 50/50 than it is.

Missouri to miss tournament -205 (2 units)

Missouri has a brutal schedule down the stretch. They have 9 games remaining, and 7 are Q1, 3 are Q1-A. That presents opportunities, but the Tigers are projected underdogs in every remaining game. Mizzou played a putrid NCSOS and probably has to go 5-4 down the stretch to make the tournament (they could have a chance at 4-5). That’s not likely given that they’re outside the top 60 in the predictive metrics.