Bracketology 2/22/2024

There’s some really strange resumes around the bubble this year that I don’t know what to do with. Consider Texas A&M (6-5 in Q1 and 2-4 in Q3???) who has lost to Vanderbilt and Arkansas in the last week. There’s also Wake Forest (a dismal 5-9 against Q1 and Q2, but predictive metrics and a NET in the 20s). We don’t have a lot of teams like these two in the historical data set to know what the committee will do with them.

1: Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, Arizona

2: North Carolina, Tennessee, Kansas, Marquette

3: Alabama, Iowa State, Duke, Creighton

4: Baylor, Auburn, San Diego State, Wisconsin

5: Clemson, Illinois, Texas Tech, BYU

6: Dayton, South Carolina, Florida, Utah State

7: Kentucky, Colorado State, St. Mary’s, Florida Atlantic

8: Washington State, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Boise State

9: TCU, Nevada, Virginia, New Mexico

10: Texas, Grand Canyon, Nebraska, Northwestern

11: Providence, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, (Gonzaga/Texas A&M)

12: (Seton Hall/Wake Forest), James Madison, Indiana State, Princeton

13: McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

14: Akron, Louisiana Tech, Quinnipiac, High Point

15: Charleston, Eastern Washington, Colgate, Morehead State

16: Oakland, Southern, (Norfolk State/Merrimack), (Eastern Kentucky/North Dakota)

First Four Out: Villanova, Butler, Utah, Indiana State

Next Four Out: Princeton, Drake, McNeese State, Colorado

Also Considered: Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, St. John’s, Syracuse, South Florida, Rutgers, Oregon, SMU

Moving In: Wake Forest

Moving Out: Butler